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crease
Here's the NY Times review. The excerpt that's gotten the most attention is the bit about Queda supposedly calling off an attack to release cyanide in the NY Subway. But judging from the Times piece, that's not necessarily the spookiest thing in the book (my pick, preliminarily at least, is the stuff about W's insulation from reality...failure to do even basic homework...WTF?...I could grudgingly accept the notion of him being unable to grasp or simply being bored by Paul O'Neill's briefings...but this guy is supposed to be a WAR-TIME president).

It's also interesting that Suskind's book seems to present a more-sympathetic portrait of Tenet. James Risen's book, which was written very much from the perspective of the dissident career intelligence analyst, didn't pull any punches in criticizing Tenet and basically ridiculing his frailties as a leader. It's as if Suskind is saying that any analysis is incomplete w/o acknowledging that Tenet is as much a policy-maker as a spook and therefore needs to be cut some slack.

QUOTE
June 20, 2006
Books of The Times | 'The One Percent Doctrine'
Personality, Ideology and Bush's Terror Wars
By MICHIKO KAKUTANI
The title of Ron Suskind's riveting new book, "The One Percent Doctrine," refers to an operating principle that he says Vice President Dick Cheney articulated shortly after 9/11: in Mr. Suskind's words, "if there was even a 1 percent chance of terrorists getting a weapon of mass destruction — and there has been a small probability of such an occurrence for some time — the United States must now act as if it were a certainty." He quotes Mr. Cheney saying that it's not about "our analysis," it's about "our response," and argues that this conviction effectively sidelines the traditional policymaking process of analysis and debate, making suspicion, not evidence, the new threshold for action.

Mr. Suskind's book — which appears to have been written with wide access to the former director of the Central Intelligence Agency, George Tenet, as well as to other C.I.A. officials and a host of sources at the F.B.I., and in the State, Defense and Treasury Departments — is sure to be as talked about as his "Price of Loyalty" (2004) and the former counterterrorism czar Richard A. Clarke's "Against All Enemies" (2004).

The book, which focuses on the 2001 to 2004 period, not only sheds new light on the Bush White House's strategic thinking and its doctrine of pre-emptive action, but also underscores the roles that personality and ideology played in shaping the administration's decision to go to war in Iraq. It describes how poorly prepared homeland security was (and is) for another terrorist attack, and looks at a series of episodes in the war on terror that often found the "invisibles," who run intelligence and enforcement operations on the ground, at odds with the "notables," who head the government.

In fleshing out key relationships among administration members — most notably, between Mr. Cheney and Mr. Bush, Mr. Bush and Mr. Tenet, and Mr. Tenet and Condoleezza Rice, then the national security adviser — it adds some big, revealing chunks to the evolving jigsaw-puzzle portrait of this White House and its modus operandi, while also giving the reader some up close and personal looks at the government's day-to-day operations in the war on terror.

In "The One Percent Doctrine," Mr. Suskind discloses that First Data Corporation — one of the world's largest processors of credit card transactions and the parent company of Western Union — began cooperating with the F.B.I. in the wake of 9/11, providing information on financial transactions and wire transfers from around the world. The huge data-gathering operation in some respects complemented the National Security Agency's domestic surveillance program (secretly authorized by Mr. Bush months after the Sept. 11 attacks), which monitored specific conversations as well as combed through large volumes of phone and Internet traffic in search of patterns that might lead to terrorism suspects.

Despite initial misgivings on the part of Western Union executives, Mr. Suskind reports, the company also worked with the C.I.A. and provided real-time information on financial transactions as they occurred.

Mr. Suskind's book also reveals that Qaeda operatives had designed a delivery system (which they called a "mubtakkar") for a lethal gas, and that the United States government had a Qaeda source who said that plans for a hydrogen cyanide attack on New York City's subway system were well under way in early 2003, but the attack was called off — for reasons that remain unclear — by Osama bin Laden's deputy, Ayman al-Zawahiri. The book also reports that Al Qaeda had produced "extremely virulent" anthrax in Afghanistan before 9/11, which "could be easily reproduced to create a quantity that could be readily weaponized."

Just as disturbing as Al Qaeda's plans and capabilities are the descriptions of the Bush administration's handling of the war on terror and its willful determination to go to war against Iraq. That war, according to the author's sources who attended National Security Council briefings in 2002, was primarily waged "to make an example" of Saddam Hussein, to "create a demonstration model to guide the behavior of anyone with the temerity to acquire destructive weapons or, in any way, flout the authority of the United States."

"The One Percent Doctrine" amplifies an emerging portrait of the administration (depicted in a flurry of recent books by authors as disparate as the Reagan administration economist Bruce Bartlett and the former Coalition Provisional Authority adviser Larry Diamond) as one eager to circumvent traditional processes of policy development and policy review, and determined to use experts (whether in the C.I.A., the Treasury Department or the military) not to help formulate policy, but simply to sell predetermined initiatives to the American public.

Mr. Suskind writes that the war on terror gave the president and vice president "vast, creative prerogatives": "to do what they want, when they want to, for whatever reason they decide" and to "create whatever reality was convenient." The potent wartime authority granted the White House in the wake of 9/11, he says, dovetailed with the administration's pre-9/11 desire to amp up executive power (diminished, Mr. Cheney and others believed, by Watergate) and to impose "message discipline" on government staffers.

"The public, and Congress, acquiesced," Mr. Suskind notes, "with little real resistance, to a 'need to know' status — told only what they needed to know, with that determination made exclusively, and narrowly, by the White House."

Within the government, he goes on, there was frequent frustration with the White House's hermetic decision-making style. "Voicing desire for a more traditional, transparent policy process," he writes, "prompted accusations of disloyalty," and "issues argued, often vociferously, at the level of deputies and principals rarely seemed to go upstream in their fullest form to the president's desk, and if they did, it was often after Bush seemed to have already made up his mind based on what was so often cited as his 'instinct' or 'gut.' "

This book augments the portrait of Mr. Bush as an incurious and curiously uninformed executive that Mr. Suskind earlier set out in "The Price of Loyalty" and in a series of magazine articles on the president and key aides. In "The One Percent Doctrine," he writes that Mr. Cheney's nickname inside the C.I.A. was Edgar (as in Edgar Bergen), casting Mr. Bush in the puppet role of Charlie McCarthy, and cites one instance after another in which the president was not fully briefed (or had failed to read the basic paperwork) about a crucial situation.

During a November 2001 session with the president, Mr. Suskind recounts, a C.I.A. briefer realized that the Pentagon had not told Mr. Bush of the C.I.A.'s urgent concern that Osama bin Laden might escape from the Tora Bora area of Afghanistan (as he indeed later did) if United States reinforcements were not promptly sent in. And several months later, he says, attendees at a meeting between Mr. Bush and the Saudis discovered after the fact that an important packet laying out the Saudis' views about the Israeli-Palestinian situation had been diverted to the vice president's office and never reached the president.

Keeping information away from the president, Mr. Suskind argues, was a calculated White House strategy that gave Mr. Bush "plausible deniability" from Mr. Cheney's point of view, and that perfectly meshed with the commander in chief's own impatience with policy details. Suggesting that Mr. Bush deliberately did not read the full National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq, which was delivered to the White House in the fall of 2002, Mr. Suskind writes: "Keeping certain knowledge from Bush — much of it shrouded, as well, by classification — meant that the president, whose each word circles the globe, could advance various strategies by saying whatever was needed. He could essentially be 'deniable' about his own statements."

"Whether Cheney's innovations were tailored to match Bush's inclinations, or vice versa, is almost immaterial," Mr. Suskind continues. "It was a firm fit. Under this strategic model, reading the entire N.I.E. would be problematic for Bush: it could hem in the president's rhetoric, a key weapon in the march to war. He would know too much."

As for Mr. Tenet, this book provides a nuanced portrait of a man with "colliding loyalties — to the president, who could have fired him after 9/11 but didn't; and to his analysts, whom he was institutionally and emotionally committed to defend." It would become an increasingly untenable position, as the White House grew more and more impatient with the C.I.A.'s reluctance to supply readily the sort of intelligence it wanted. (A Pentagon unit headed by Douglas Feith was set up as an alternative to the C.I.A., to provide, in Mr. Suskind's words, "intelligence on demand" to both Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld and the office of the vice president.)

While many C.I.A. analysts were deeply skeptical of the imminent danger posed by Mr. Hussein and simultaneously worried about the fallout of a possible invasion, the C.I.A., paradoxically enough, would become a favorite scapegoat for the administration's decision to go to war against Iraq, thanks in no small measure to Mr. Tenet's remark (quoted in Bob Woodward's 2004 book "Plan of Attack") that the existence of Iraqi weapons of mass destruction was a "slam dunk." In this volume Mr. Suskind reports that Mr. Tenet says he does not remember uttering those famous words: "Doesn't dispute it. Just doesn't remember it."

Mr. Suskind credits Mr. Tenet with deftly using his personal bonds with "key conditional partners" in the war on terror, from President Pervez Musharraf of Pakistan to King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia. He depicts the former C.I.A. director as frequently being made by the White House "to take the fall" for his superiors, on matters including the administration's handling of prewar intelligence to the 16 disputed words in the president's State of the Union address, regarding Iraq's supposed efforts to obtain uranium from Africa. Because it was Mr. Tenet "who brought analysis up the chain from the C.I.A.," Mr. Suskind writes, he "was best positioned to assume blame. And Rice was adept at laying it on Tenet."

At the same time, Mr. Suskind suggests that Mr. Tenet acted as a kind of White House enabler: he writes that in the wake of 9/11, Mr. Tenet felt a "mix of insecurity and gratitude" vis-à-vis George W. Bush, and that eager to please his boss, he repeatedly pushed C.I.A. staff members to come up with evidence that might support the president's public statements.

In the days after 9/11 Mr. Bush defended the embattled C.I.A. chief to angry congressmen, and at that point, Mr. Suskind writes: "George Tenet would do anything his President asked. Anything. And George W. Bush knew it."

crease
Though it appears I'm talking to myself at this point, in a similar vein, do not miss a repeat showing of 'The Dark Side' on PBS Frontline. It details, in pretty impressive, vivid, and entertaining detail, the way the war on terror has been prosecuted thus far, focusing particularly on the way intelligence has been collected, interpreted, and massaged. Also, they interview a veritable whos-who of players in those discussions, including certifiable CIA badass Gary Berntsen and Colin Powell's right-hand man Larry Wilkerson (who, in one of the show's most poignant moments, describes how he composed his resignation letter to the president yet didn't have the heart to submit it). They also interview 'One-Percent Doctrine' author Ron Suskind. Very impressive. Very comprehensive.

It's on Ch. 11 tonight at 7pm.
NumberTenOx
Watched this last night. It was very good, but the "story" aspect was a little OTT-- essentially you have two experienced bueuraucrats who manage to smother dissenting voices by consolidating power and getting them to take posion capsules marked "cheese". The commentary at the end is the most damning part-- it's bad enough that we went into Iraq based on lies and ambition. What's worse is that our system allowed it to happen.
Seamus
QUOTE(crease @ Jun 21 2006, 08:42 AM) [snapback]115190[/snapback]

Though it appears I'm talking to myself at this point, in a similar vein, do not miss a repeat showing of 'The Dark Side' on PBS Frontline.


Thanks for the heads-up. I'll see if Twin Cities Public Television is airing this as well.

I can't wait until enough time has passed for the feeble-minded masses to gain enough perspective to realize "oh yeah, wow, Bush really was an awful president". I'd like to think that this country can learn a lot going forward about what not to do from W's eight-year(!) reign. Wishful thinking, to be sure.

crease
QUOTE(NumberTenOx @ Jun 21 2006, 08:54 AM) [snapback]115192[/snapback]

Watched this last night. It was very good, but the "story" aspect was a little OTT-- essentially you have two experienced bueuraucrats who manage to smother dissenting voices by consolidating power and getting them to take posion capsules marked "cheese". The commentary at the end is the most damning part-- it's bad enough that we went into Iraq based on lies and ambition. What's worse is that our system allowed it to happen.

Fair enough, though I think it's fair to say that one of the hallmarks of the administration has been secrecy and the assertion of executive privilege. That's what's prompted a lot of the 'bush in a bubble' handwringing, as pretty much all of the 'experts' felt they were just getting rolled.
NumberTenOx
QUOTE(crease @ Jun 21 2006, 09:00 AM) [snapback]115197[/snapback]

QUOTE(NumberTenOx @ Jun 21 2006, 08:54 AM) [snapback]115192[/snapback]

Watched this last night. It was very good, but the "story" aspect was a little OTT-- essentially you have two experienced bueuraucrats who manage to smother dissenting voices by consolidating power and getting them to take posion capsules marked "cheese". The commentary at the end is the most damning part-- it's bad enough that we went into Iraq based on lies and ambition. What's worse is that our system allowed it to happen.

Fair enough, though I think it's fair to say that one of the hallmarks of the administration has been secrecy and the assertion of executive privilege. That's what's prompted a lot of the 'bush in a bubble' handwringing, as pretty much all of the 'experts' felt they were just getting rolled.

Cheney came up through the Nixon admin. He learned from the best team in the free world when it came to backstabbing, plotting, steamrolling, and railroading. Nixon's the one.

I can't get worked up about this. I know that his methods are reprehensible, but getting worked up about him I can't do because its valueless. What I want (and will work on) is supporting someone who isn't like that.

In other news, the woman six cubes away from me has the loudest voice I've heard in ages. The fact that it sounds like Agnes Skinner is what makes it doubly distracting.
dice
i noticed this last night but it was past my bedtime. i'll take a peek tonight. thanks
crease
QUOTE(NumberTenOx @ Jun 21 2006, 09:13 AM) [snapback]115209[/snapback]

QUOTE(crease @ Jun 21 2006, 09:00 AM) [snapback]115197[/snapback]

QUOTE(NumberTenOx @ Jun 21 2006, 08:54 AM) [snapback]115192[/snapback]

Watched this last night. It was very good, but the "story" aspect was a little OTT-- essentially you have two experienced bueuraucrats who manage to smother dissenting voices by consolidating power and getting them to take posion capsules marked "cheese". The commentary at the end is the most damning part-- it's bad enough that we went into Iraq based on lies and ambition. What's worse is that our system allowed it to happen.

Fair enough, though I think it's fair to say that one of the hallmarks of the administration has been secrecy and the assertion of executive privilege. That's what's prompted a lot of the 'bush in a bubble' handwringing, as pretty much all of the 'experts' felt they were just getting rolled.

Cheney came up through the Nixon admin. He learned from the best team in the free world when it came to backstabbing, plotting, steamrolling, and railroading. Nixon's the one.

But what's mystifying about Cheney is the transformation from political pragmatist--for instance, his stint as secretary of defense--to unyielding, politically tone-deaf mercenary. That is, if it was all about Nixonian deceit and double-crossing, then I would think that Cheney's political life would have short-circuited long ago, eliminating any chance he'd have had of earning W's trust (and, thus, getting his ear when it came time to appoint himself VP).
NumberTenOx
W's dad was (and is) one of the most duplicitous individuals in American politics, with the unique ability to be seen as a strawman. But you don't get to be the head of the CIA by being a strawman.

W may not like that kind of behavor, but it is familiar and predictable. And when we're in situations over our head, we need something to hold on to.

Cheney isn't a pragmatist-- he's a manipulator, serving his own and his ideological ends.

A pragmatist would never have architected the War on Terror the way Cheney has done. The War on Terror is wildly impractical-- the infighting between the CIA and the Pentagon shows that. If you're practical, you come up with a command stucture so the two can work together and take advantage of each other's strengths and cover each other's weaknesses.

The CIA more or less fought the battle of Tora Bora (or whatever it's called) with minimal air and ground support from the army, allowing Bin Laden to escape did nothing for this country, but it certainly made the case that the CIA had to be under military control. It's such a stupid waste.

:::rant on:::
I grew up in Western Nebraska, about 50 miles from the Wyoming border. As you might expect, there are two things in Western Nebraska: farms and cows. Hop over the border into Eastern Wyoming, and its pretty much the same story all the way to the foothills of the Rockies.

Cheney has a huge ranch in eastern Wyoming. At some point in the mid 1980's, Wyoming did a big tax reassessment-- farmers and ranchers had been paying the same property tax rates since the 1930's, I think. The state decided to raise the property taxes, and suddenly, Cheney was up in arms. There was a huge row in Cheyanne-- the state was turning communist, etc, just because the treasury department wanted the farmers to pay their fair share for fair use of state services.

Cheney had none of it-- he organized ranchers and farmers and they put up a huge fight. The tax increase went through, but at a substantially reduced rate. Over the years, farms have become more isolated, and more kids are getting sick, the roads are in worse shape, etc.

Since then, the coalition has remained active, particularly in the area of obtaining easments for environmental laws-- there are mineral deposits all throughout the foothills, which are the easiest to mine. Cheney was active throughout the 90's in criticizing and undermining the Clinton era EPA (which actually enforced the rules on small-scale mining operations). The result of this has been problems with the water table (there are huge aquafers under Wyoming and Nebraska), and the supposed benefits of increased tax revenue haven't really materialized.

The knock-on effect of this has been to cause the state of Nebraska to raise its rural land use tax rates to a) be competitive with Wyoming in terms of tax revenue (there's a huge brain drain from Nebraska to Wyoming, if you can believe it, particularly in terms of keeping qualified public school teachers), and cool.gif keep large-scale landholders in state. Of course, raising taxes has had the opposite effect. Small land holders can't afford the property taxes, and if they can't get the credit and the leases to farm the additional tenant land they need in order to break even, they go bankrupt. The land is bought by a large multinational, and the farmer hauls grain or works in a feedlot. His income is probably a third of what it was, his credit is destroyed, and he's got nothing.

Cheney doesn't give a shit about anything that happens, long term. It doesn't matter if it's in Bagdhad or his backyard. He doesn't give a shit.
:::rant off:::
held
I caught this last night too. Something to be said when everyone comes flying out of the CIA cause Tennant decided to play flaors over accuracy. I'm puzzled how the direction will ever change now that we've restructured intelligence gatherig to play more into the use of the military. How is any other administration (namely a democratic one or any other party for that matter) supposed to handle this mess when these guys walk away?

I'm still a bit boggled as to why Rove isn't getting taken down a notch for his activites. I'd sort of wonder whether this stuff will come to pass once the administration is out of office. I guess it'd be sort of a moot point by then but I can't help but hope that someone would hold them accountable instead of privledged due to executive status.
without_opinion
seymour, the house is on fire!
RadioHitchcock
QUOTE(crease @ Jun 21 2006, 08:42 AM) [snapback]115190[/snapback]

Though it appears I'm talking to myself at this point, in a similar vein, do not miss a repeat showing of 'The Dark Side' on PBS Frontline. It details, in pretty impressive, vivid, and entertaining detail, the way the war on terror


Yeah, watched this last night, couldn't turn away from it, very informative and stomach turning.

Ted Falconi
QUOTE
"BLITZER: You're saying the CIA formally concluded that bin Laden wanted Bush re-elected.

"SUSKIND: Well, look -- absolutely true . . . the analysis flowed essentially along those lines.

"The question, the key question, is what it is it about America's war on terror that is such that bin Laden would want it to continue and Bush to continue conducting it? That's the bigger question that was not examined by the CIA, because many of these people there were soon to be pushed out."

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/conte...5041100879.html
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